This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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A probabilidade atual de Alcatraz reopened in 2026? é de 7%, com volume total de R$ 2K negociados. Este mercado encerra em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
Resultados possíveis para Alcatraz reopened in 2026?