China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | COW.MARKET
Geopolitics
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
GeopoliticsChinaMissile
Total volume$17.6K
Closes in56d 0h 46m
Options2
Chance
Market Rules and Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
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A probabilidade atual de China ballistic missile launch by December 31? é de 9%, com volume total de R$ 18K negociados. Este mercado encerra em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
Resultados possíveis para China ballistic missile launch by December 31?