Israel x iranGeopoliticsIsraelAcordo de pazDiplomacy ceasefireLebanonIra
Total volume$552K
Closes in56d 3h 19m
Options2
Chance
Market Rules and Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
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A probabilidade atual de Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? é de 2%, com volume total de R$ 552K negociados. Este mercado encerra em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
Resultados possíveis para Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?